How Experimental Methods Shaped Views on Human Competence and Rationality

old_uid20116
titleHow Experimental Methods Shaped Views on Human Competence and Rationality
start_date2022/03/04
schedule15h30-18h
onlineno
summarySound statistical intuitions are essential for navigating an uncertain world. The intuitive-statistician program of the 1960s concluded that probability theory and statistics can be used as the basis for psychological models of judgment. In contrast, research starting in the 1970s—spearheaded by the heuristics-and-biases program—has concluded that people lack the correct mental software for many important judgmental tasks. Our systematic review of experimental methods shows that the source of these conflicting conclusions may be attributable to a methodological shift triggered by the heuristics-and-biases program, which largely removed learning from judgment tasks.
oncancelNouveau -
responsiblesPalminteri